Watch our Super Bowl picks here!
Last week
Dave 1 – 1 – 0
Doug 1 – 1 – 0
Post-Season
Dave 5 – 3 – 0
Doug 3 – 5 – 0
Doug
SAN FRANCISCO (-2.0) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS O/U 47.5
There are plenty of stats to pull off the internet for this game. KC QB Patrick Mahomes is 10-1-1 ATS and 9-3 SU as an underdog, Andy Reid is 31-7 straight up off a bye, there have only been nine Super Bowls in which a team won the Lombardi Trophy but failed to cover the spread (0-7-2 ATS). San Francisco has failed to cover either playoff game (0-2 ATS), while KC has not only covered all their playoff games, they come into the Super Bowl riding a 5-0 ATS streak. KC has also won the last three between these two teams. KC is also 4-0 when traveling over 950 miles to play a game (here the mileage is 1142) and SF is also undefeated when travelling more than 300 miles away from home (Vegas is 387 miles away). The UNDER is 5-1 in KC’s last six games and 2-2 in SF’s last four. The last Super Bowl these two teams played against each other in, the total 51 points (31-20 in a KC win). Like I said, there are plenty of stats. If this was a 2.5 or 3.0 spread I might go with KC.
PICKS
SF (-2.0)
SFvKC OV 47.5
Props
BROCK PURDY RUSHING OVER 12.5 YDS (-117) UNDER 12.5 (-117)
Brock Purdy averaged 9 yards rushing per game during the regular season and ran for more than 11 yards in 4 games during the regular season. That seems to have changed here in the postseason. Purdy’s run for 14 and 48 yards in the two playoff games this year, averaging 38 YPG and he even had a pair of 21 yard runs against Detroit.
PICK IS BROCK PURDY OV 12.5 YDS RUSHING (-117)
OVERTIME? YES (+900) NO (-1600)
Absolutely no reason for this one. I just want to see overtime.
PICK IS OVERTIME? YES (+900)
San Francisco 49ers (-2) v. Kansas City Chiefs 47.5
In this game I think experience matters, that’s why I’m not going against Mahomes in the big game. Mahomes really seems to thrive in the underdog role. He’s been an underdog 12 times in his career and has a record of 9 and 3. If the point spread stays with the Chiefs as underdogs that’ll be the third time in a row in the last three games that they were the dogs. How did those first two games turn out? There is an argument that the 49ers is the more talented team but in crunch time I’m not betting against Mahomes in this one.
Pick: I’m taking the Kansas City Chiefs
Both these teams are talented and I think this game will have a lot of lead changes. I also think that each team will push each other to score as often as possible. There’s certainly no weather to worry about inside the dome so I’m thinking there’s going to be not only lots of touchdowns but a lot of field goals. That means lots of scoring .
Pick: I’m taking the OVER
First Touchdown Scorer
Isaiah Pacheco + 480
The Chiefs have really depended on Pacheco this season especially in the playoffs. Early in the game if they get inside the 10 yard line I expect him to get the ball either through a handoff or a screen pass. Hey at + 480 why not sprinkle a little on this New Jersey native.
Will There Be Overtime?
I’ve never been on this before but if any game could make it to overtime I’m thinking it could be this one. Early last week there was talk that this game could even be a pick’em. Both teams are talented and have the ability to make big plays so I wouldn’t be surprised if it went to overtime. And at +900 why not give it a shot.
Pick:Yes
Dave
Kansas City Chiefs v. Baltimore Ravens( -3) 44.5
For me the best team in the playoffs is the Baltimore Ravens. The Buffalo Bills game showed me that Kansas City can be run on.I look for a big game from Lamar Jackson not only throwing the ball but running the ball. I might have to take a look at the rushing prop for Jackson in this one. This year the Ravens have won 11 games against teams with a record of 500 and above. They play great against good teams. It’s hard not to take Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes as the underdogs but I think the Ravens are just that good.
Pick: I’m taking the Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions v. San Francisco 49ers (- 7) 51
As of late Brock Purdy has not been looking like he has in the past and with the injury to Deebo Samuel, who will probably play but maybe not at 100%, one of his big weapons could be affected. Certainly Detroit is the emotional favorite in this game which means that 7 points may move closer to game time. I think Detroit is a very talented team who are 13-6 ATS for the season and I think the Lions are talented enough to keep this one close. I wouldn’t be surprised if they actually won the game. If I’m getting 7 points for the Detroit Lions, I think I’m going to take it.
Pick:. I’m taking the Detroit Lions
Turnpike Sports 